Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida vs Juan Pablo Varillas Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

In the realm of second serve performance over the past six months, Varillas emerges notably ahead, securing 46.55% of points compared to Almeida's 41.51%. This statistic, closely linked with match prediction accuracy, might hint at who is favored to win.

Analysing the return game stats, Varillas showcases a formidable edge, winning 48.92% of their opponents' second serve points, whereas Almeida registers 45.09%. When it comes to first serve returns, Varillas again leads with 31.9% over Almeida’s 29.65%. These metrics play a significant role in determining the superior competitor in their head-to-head confrontations.

Under pressure, Varillas demonstrates resilience, saving 51.56% of breakpoints, outpacing Almeida, who saves 46.3%. With both players having best career surface win percentages on clay, Varillas edges ahead with 62% compared to Almeida's 60%. However, it's worth noting that neither player has a recorded victory on their worst surfaces, with both having 0% in certain conditions.

Over the last year, Varillas has a match win rate of 50% (W/L 26/26), whereas Almeida boasts a higher win rate at 59.38% (W/L 38/26). This head-to-head overview gives an essential perspective on their competitive standings. When comparing their recent performance in Challengers/ITF tournaments above $10K, Almeida again slightly surpasses Varillas, reflecting a 56.25% winning percentage over Varillas' 53.66%.

Examining their historical head-to-head encounters, each player has secured a victory in their two previous matches, with Almeida winning the last battle on the clay courts of the Santiago Challenger in 2025. The average match time between them clocks at nearly two hours, emphasizing their evenly matched capabilities.

In the singular deciding set they've contested, Almeida triumphed, reinforcing a potential edge in future encounters requiring the distance to be seen through. Over the past year, Varillas' ability in deciding sets is at 44%, contrasting Almeida's 33%, potentially affecting live match predictions.

Taking into account both current event performances and historical data, the balance may slightly shift based on in-form indications. It's crucial to observe these stats as they progress in the event. Yet, when assessing break point conversions, Varillas is converting at a rate of 41.36%, surpassing Almeida's 36.76%, a critical differential for live betting scenarios.

Overall, while Almeida does hold some statistical advantages, Varillas’ strengths in specific areas, such as breakpoint conversion and resilience under pressure, provide him a slight edge heading into their upcoming match based on the accumulated data.